Table 8. Model averaged parameter estimates and odds ratio estimates with confidence intervals for ecoregional composite models and the statewide model. These parameters constitute the final averaged models for each ecoregion and may be used directly to predict Common Loon nest presence regionally and throughout the state of New Hampshire.
| |
| |
|
Region |
Variable |
Theta |
SE |
Odds ratio |
95% Wald confidence limits |
| |
| |
|
Ecoregion 1, Northern White Mountain |
|
|
Intercept |
−8.655 |
0.704 |
|
|
|
|
|
Lake size |
3.127 |
0.096 |
6.935 |
0.934 |
51.509 |
|
|
Open water 500 nest |
1.570 |
0.034 |
1.482 |
1.066 |
2.062 |
| |
|
Ecoregion 2, New Hampshire-Vermont Upland |
|
Intercept |
−22.579 |
10.485 |
|
|
|
|
|
Islands |
3.179 |
1.120 |
18.045 |
2.760 |
117.970 |
|
|
Clarity |
1.047 |
0.349 |
2.952 |
1.500 |
5.810 |
|
|
Elevation |
0.004 |
0.002 |
1.004 |
1.000 |
1.007 |
|
|
Open water 150 lake |
0.287 |
0.136 |
1.383 |
1.153 |
1.658 |
|
|
Open water 500 lake |
0.405 |
0.1145 |
1.499 |
1.198 |
1.877 |
|
|
Open water 500 nest |
0.1064 |
0.0485 |
0.890 |
0.810 |
0.979 |
|
|
pH |
2.72 |
1.0139 |
15.195 |
2.083 |
110.844 |
|
|
Road density 500 lake |
−0.158 |
0.064 |
0.880 |
0.789 |
0.983 |
|
|
Distance to loon lake |
−0.3619 |
0.129 |
0.691 |
0.491 |
0.971 |
|
|
Agricultural 500 lake |
−0.3143 |
0.1489 |
0.730 |
0.545 |
0.978 |
|
|
Forest 150 nest |
−0.0856 |
0.0346 |
0.913 |
0.853 |
0.977 |
|
|
Wetland 150 nest |
−0.0793 |
0.0346 |
0.920 |
0.859 |
0.985 |
|
|
Road density 150 nest |
−0.0647 |
0.0286 |
0.927 |
0.877 |
0.980 |
| |
|
Ecoregion 3, Southern New England Coastal Hills and Plain |
|
|
Intercept |
−4.550 |
0.217 |
|
|
|
|
|
Elevation |
0.006 |
0.001 |
1.004 |
1.000 |
1.009 |
|
|
Lake size |
1.180 |
0.158 |
3.254 |
1.640 |
6.456 |
|
|
Clarity |
0.1714 |
0.2835 |
1.187 |
0.681 |
2.069 |
|
|
Distance to loon lake |
−0.2183 |
0.124 |
1.000 |
1.000 |
1.000 |
|
|
Phosphorous |
−179.503 |
3.190 |
< 0.001 |
< 0.001 |
< 0.001 |
| |
|
New Hampshire Statewide |
|
|
Intercept |
−7.3821 |
1.2467 |
|
|
|
|
|
Open water 150 lake |
0.1150 |
0.0200 |
1.122 |
1.079 |
1.167 |
|
|
Elevation |
0.001 |
0.001 |
1.001 |
1.000 |
1.002 |
|
|
Islands |
1.0674 |
0.4210 |
2.908 |
1.274 |
6.637 |
|
|
Clarity |
0.5948 |
0.1503 |
1.813 |
1.350 |
2.434 |
|
|
Distance to population center |
0.2105 |
0.0797 |
1.234 |
1.056 |
1.443 |
|
|
Distance to loon lake |
−0.2331 |
0.0732 |
0.792 |
0.686 |
0.914 |
|
|
Road density 150 lake |
−0.0327 |
0.0148 |
0.968 |
0.940 |
0.996 |
|
|
|
| |
|