Avian Conservation and Ecology
The following is the established format for referencing this article:
Zagorski, M. E. and R. K. Swihart. 2021. Raptor resource use in agroecosystems: cover crops and definitions of availability matter. Avian Conservation and Ecology 16(1):1.
https://doi.org/10.5751/ACE-01719-160101
Research Paper

Raptor resource use in agroecosystems: cover crops and definitions of availability matter
 
Utilisation des ressources par les rapaces dans les agroécosystèmes : les cultures de couverture et la définition de la disponibilité importent

1Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University

ABSTRACT

The populations of many species of raptors that forage in agroecosystems have declined as agriculture has intensified. Cover crops are a recent trend in areas of intensive row-crop agriculture in the Midwestern United States that could positively affect raptors by increasing the abundance and distribution of raptor prey. We assessed the habitat use of two raptors, American Kestrel (Falco sparverius) and Red-tailed Hawk (Buteo jamaicensis), and tested for use of areas near cover-cropped fields. We conducted 1184 km of roadside transects in 2018 and 2019 in west-central Indiana and recorded 191 detections of our focal species. We constructed resource selection functions within a use-availability design to evaluate raptor habitat use with a series of weighted logistic regression models. For each species, we fitted models at two scales (transect and landscape) and with two definitions of available points (completely random and random subject to perch constraints). American Kestrels were strongly associated with cover-cropped agricultural fields. Red-tailed Hawks were strongly associated with woodlots. Scale did not greatly affect the inclusion of habitat variables into top models for either species. Random models identified potential perch sites, whereas constrained random models identified more subtle habitat preferences not included in the random models. For American Kestrels, constrained models revealed reduced use of woodland perches and increased use of perches near cover-cropped and conventional agricultural fields. For Red-tailed Hawks, constrained models revealed habitat associations, particularly reduced use of utility lines and human development, that were absent or de-emphasized in random models. Modeling resource selection with constrained random availability will work best for well-studied species with discrete, easily mapped habitat features. If damage to commodity crops by rodents in cover-cropped fields is a concern, raptor management should focus on kestrels and could include erection of artificial perches, nest boxes, and enhancement of permanent herbaceous habitats for hunting.

RÉSUMÉ

Les populations de nombreuses espèces de rapaces qui se nourrissent dans les agroécosystèmes ont diminué avec l'intensification de l'agriculture. Les cultures de couverture, une tendance récente dans les zones de cultures intensives en rangs du Midwest des États-Unis, pourraient avoir un effet positif sur les rapaces en permettant d'augmenter l'abondance et la répartition de leurs proies. Nous avons évalué l'utilisation d'habitat de deux rapaces, la Crécerelle d'Amérique (Falco sparverius) et la Buse à queue rousse (Buteo jamaicensis), et testé l'utilisation des zones près des champs de cultures de couverture. Nous avons inventorié 1 184 km de transects en bord de routes en 2018 et 2019 dans le centre-ouest de l'Indiana et noté 191 détections de nos espèces cibles. Nous avons construit des fonctions de sélection des ressources dans le cadre d'un plan utilisation-disponibilité pour évaluer l'utilisation d'habitat par les rapaces à l'aide d'une série de modèles de régression logistique pondérée. Pour chaque espèce, nous avons ajusté les modèles à deux échelles (transect et paysage) et selon deux définitions de disponibilité (complètement aléatoire ou aléatoire avec contraintes de perchoir). Les crécerelles ont été fortement associées aux champs de cultures de couverture. Les buses étaient fortement associées aux boisés. L'échelle n'a pas eu un grand effet sur l'inclusion des variables d'habitat dans les meilleurs modèles pour les deux espèces. Les modèles aléatoires ont identifié des sites potentiels pour se percher, tandis que les modèles aléatoires avec contraintes ont identifié des préférences d'habitat plus subtiles et non incluses dans les modèles aléatoires. Pour les crécerelles, les modèles avec contraintes ont révélé une utilisation réduite des perchoirs en forêt et une utilisation accrue des perchoirs à proximité des champs de cultures de couverture et de cultures conventionnelles. Pour les buses, les modèles avec contraintes ont révélé des associations avec l'habitat, en particulier une faible utilisation des lignes de services publics et des aménagements humains, qui étaient absentes ou atténuées dans les modèles aléatoires. La modélisation de la sélection des ressources avec une disponibilité aléatoire contrainte fonctionnera mieux pour les espèces bien étudiées ayant des caractéristiques d'habitat distinctes et faciles à cartographier. Si les dommages causés aux cultures principales par les rongeurs dans les cultures de couverture sont un problème, la gestion des rapaces devrait se concentrer sur les crécerelles et pourrait comprendre l'installation de perchoirs artificiels et de nichoirs et l'amélioration des milieux herbacés permanents pour la chasse.
Key words: American Kestrel; Buteo jamaicensis; cover crops; Falco sparverius; Red-tailed Hawk; resource selection function; row-crop agroecosystems; use-availability

INTRODUCTION

In the midwestern United States, conversion of grassland and forest, primarily due to agriculture, has dramatically reduced and fragmented permanent habitat for wildlife (Kremen et al. 2002, Stanton et al. 2018). For instance, across Indiana, tallgrass prairie and forest currently cover <1% and <25%, respectively, of their extent before European settlement (Samson and Knopf 1994, Carman 2013). Intensive row-crop agriculture has dominated the region for >50 years and is characterized by high levels of chemical inputs and monocrop annual rotations of 2 - 3 crops, usually corn (Zea mays), soybeans (Glycine max), or wheat (Triticum aestivum), planted in large fields (Griffith et al. 1977, Yan and Roy 2016). Since 1985, the federal Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) has attempted to mitigate habitat losses in agroecosystems by taking enrolled land out of production to be managed as restored permanent cover, typically grassland in the Midwest, over the course of a contract (Morefield et al. 2016).

In agroecosystems, raptor distributions are influenced by the availability of perches and prey abundance, with raptor abundances typically declining as agriculture becomes more intensive (Boano and Toffoli 2002, Filloy and Bellocq 2007, Butet et al. 2010, Grande et al. 2018 and sources therein). Although artificial nest boxes and perches can improve raptor habitat quality in agricultural landscapes (Fargallo et al. 2009, Paz et al. 2012, Shave and Lindell 2017), artificial perches are not commonly available and there is no organized network of nest boxes in our study area (Zagorski and Swihart 2020). Other initiatives, such as CRP and related programs (e.g., Agricultural Conservation Easement Program (ACEP) and the Environmental Quality Incentives Program (EQIP)), have benefited raptors and other wildlife (Best et al. 1997a, 1997b, Riffell et al. 2008, Rollins and Lyons 2009, Wilson et al. 2010, Ehrenberger and Dunning 2011, Mushet et al. 2014, Otto et al. 2018, Lewis et al. 2019). Unfortunately, CRP enrollment, both nationally and in the Midwest, has dropped in recent years, and conversion to cropland has increased (Morefield et al. 2016).

Cover crops may offset negative effects experienced by wildlife due to declining CRP enrollment, especially in winter. These crops are non-commodity crops usually planted after the fall harvest to improve soil drainage and reduce soil compaction, erosion, nutrient loss, and weed growth (Dabney et al. 2001, Villamil et al. 2006). An additional benefit of cover crops is the vegetative habitat they can provide to wildlife through the winter and early spring, with increased abundances documented for native bees and birds (Ellis and Barbercheck 2015, Wilcoxen et al. 2018). Use of cover crops has grown rapidly in the past decade, and Indiana ranks 3rd in the United States in terms of cover crop adoption with >375,000 ha of cover crops planted annually since 2014 (Indiana State Department of Agriculture 2019, USDA NASS 2019a).

Cover crops also likely provide an adequate habitat for voles (Microtus) and other small mammals that are important prey for raptors (Jug et al. 2008, Fisher et al. 2014). Voles in particular are agricultural pests that can damage or consume cash crops, and producers have reported damage to cover-cropped soybean fields in Indiana (Fisher et al. 2014, Prieur and Swihart 2020a). The principal prey of many raptors, voles prefer dense herbaceous habitats, such as wheat and alfalfa (Medicago sativa) fields (Craighead and Craighead 1956, Babińska-Werka 1979, Baker and Brooks 1981, Getz and Brighty 1986, Kaufman and Kaufman 1990). Common cover crops such as cereal rye (Secale cereale) provide a similar vegetative profile that likely promotes a greater abundance of voles relative to conventional fields (Conservation Technology Information Center 2017). Hence, cover-cropped fields may contain higher densities of small mammal prey.

We investigated use of winter hunting habitat (Jones 2001) by two raptors in west-central Indiana that hunt in open areas of midwestern agroecosystems: American Kestrels (Falco sparverius) and Red-tailed Hawks (Buteo jamaicensis). Although Red-tailed Hawks are one of the most common hawks in North America, American Kestrels have undergone steep declines throughout much of their range in the past 40 years (Farmer and Smith 2009, Smallwood 2009). Our primary objective was to test whether these raptors preferentially use areas in proximity to cover-cropped fields. Raptors typically forage where prey densities are highest (Baker and Brooks 1981, Preston and Beane 1996, Worm et al. 2013). Thus, if raptor responses are driven by prey density, raptor use should be greater in areas proximal to cover-cropped fields and other areas of high-quality habitat for prey. Alternatively, if dense vegetation discourages raptor habitat use (Craighead and Craighead 1956, Bechard 1982, Preston 1990), an increased presence at more exposed sites with greater ease of prey capture is predicted.

The two focal species are sit-and-wait predators, hunting primarily from perches (Bildstein 1978, Preston and Beane 2009), although American Kestrels also hunt by hovering (Collopy and Koplin 1983, Bildstein and Collopy 1987). Thus, a secondary objective was to evaluate whether explicitly incorporating into analyses constraints of perch availability affected conclusions regarding factors that influence site use.

METHODS

Study area

We surveyed agricultural landscapes with roadside transects in a 10-county area of central Indiana (Fig. 1). These counties are characterized by intensive row-crop agriculture with 60-90% of land planted to either corn or soybeans (USDA NASS 2019b). Cover crop adoption ranged from 2-28% in the surveyed counties (Indiana State Department of Agriculture 2019). We did not identify cover crops to species, but the five most commonly planted winter-hardy cover crops in the area were cereal rye, rapeseed (Brassica napus), winter wheat, annual ryegrass (Lolium multiflorum), and crimson clover (Trifolium incarnatum, Conservation Technology Information Center 2017).

Data collection

Transects

We designed our transects in Google Earth Pro 2018 (Google, Mountain View, California, USA), and attempted to maximize the surrounding agricultural landscape while also maintaining routes that were as straight as possible to aid aerial imaging flights. Following these constraints, transects were randomly placed on the landscape within each county. Where possible, we limited routes to secondary roads. In 2019, we repeated 13 of our 14 original transects; one transect was partially rerouted to avoid a construction zone, and one with low agricultural landcover was dropped. We added two routes each in counties with 11% (Pulaski) and 29% (Miami) cover-crop adoption in 2017 (Indiana State Department of Agriculture 2019). These additional routes were designed after consulting local NRCS offices and 2018 Sentinel-2 (ESA) and Landsat-8 satellite imagery. Transects were driven once per season and averaged 38 km (range: 29-47 km).

We conducted surveys by driving transects from January 14-April 8, 2018 and January 21-April 2, 2019. To limit temporal bias, in 2019 we surveyed our repeated 2018 routes at similar dates and supplemented the four additional transects throughout the season. We surveyed for raptors beginning 1 hour after sunrise until routes were completed (mean: 2 h 15 min) on days where wind was at or below level 4 (≤29 km/h) on the Beaufort Scale and precipitation was no heavier than a light flurry or drizzle (Fuller and Mosher 1981, 1987). Other studies have ranged widely in the timing of their transects, but we elected to conduct morning surveys because we were interested in modeling habitat use at times when birds were more likely to be perched rather than soaring (Fuller and Mosher 1981, Bunn et al. 1995). Each transect was surveyed once within a year. To avoid bias due to seasonal changes, we surveyed a single transect in each county, rotated through all counties in the study area, then returned to each county in the same rotation and surveyed a second transect. The only exception was Fountain County, which had only 1 transect and was surveyed in the middle of the sampling season. We drove between 16-24 km/h and had two observers counting raptors, with the primary observer scanning both sides of the road and the secondary (driving) observer scanning in front of the vehicle and occasionally on the driver's side (Craighead and Craighead 1956, Fuller and Mosher 1981). The primary observer was the same in both years, but the secondary observer differed between years. We counted all raptors seen along the routes, using a pair of 10x42 Leupold and Stevens binoculars (Beaverton, Oregon, USA) to confirm identifications. When we saw a raptor, we stopped to note the species, behavior, perching substrate, perpendicular distance (Prostaff 7i rangefinder, Nikon, Tokyo, Japan), and GPS coordinates from the road (GPSmap 78s Garmin, Olathe, Kansas, USA).

Aerial photography

Due to the ephemeral nature of cover crops, we obtained aerial imagery of cover crops planted along transects. We timed our flights to coincide with maximum cover-crop growth just before termination: April 19-20, 2018 and April 24-28, 2019. Transects were flown in a Cessna 172P Skyhawk at an altitude of 2000 m with clear skies or few clouds. A 2000-m altitude allowed us to classify landcover within 1 km on either side of transect routes. In 2019, five transects were flown at 1800 m due to a low cloud ceiling, but without adverse effects on landcover classification. All images were taken with a FinePix HS50EXR (Fujifilm, Tokyo, Japan) on the landscape setting from the belly of the plane.

GIS analysis

Using the aerial imagery, we digitized landcover within 1 km of each transect in ArcGIS Pro (ESRI, Redlands, California, USA). To classify landcover, we compared the aerial imagery to images of known landcover, and ground-truthed any uncertain areas. We assigned landcover to five classes (Table 1): agricultural fields with traditional cover crops, alfalfa, and wheat (Cover), agricultural fields without a cover crop (NoCover), habitats characterized by permanent herbaceous cover, including CRP strips, grass waterways 10 m wide, and remnant grasslands (PermHab), woodlots (Woods), and developed areas (Dev). For each landcover class, we calculated the percent of total landcover along each transect.

In addition to landcover, we digitized three habitat features that could serve as potential perches for raptors (Table 1), including linear rows of trees (Treeline, e.g., windbreaks and privacy screens of ≤ 3 rows of trees), the outer canopy of trees in yards and pastures (Treeperim), and utility lines and poles (Utility). We did not include artificial nest boxes or perches as potential perch sites because they occurred rarely and haphazardly, and typically were attached to habitat features already included in the analysis, such as trees, woodlot edges, utility poles, or buildings. We digitized utility lines based on Google Earth imagery; all of the remaining features were digitized from the aerial imagery. For all features, we only digitized those elements that would have been visible to observers from the road and thus available to survey for raptor presence. For example, for the canopy of trees in yards/pastures, we only digitized the portion of the canopy facing the road, and excluded any trees that would have been hidden by houses or woodlots.

For both American Kestrels and Red-tailed Hawks, we measured the perpendicular distance from the transect to any observed individual and used this distance to map observations in ArcGISPro. For each species, we excluded from analysis any observations beyond the perpendicular distance threshold of 75 m for American Kestrels and 250 m for Red-tailed Hawks (Boano and Toffoli 2002, Hutto 2016, 2017, Zagorski 2019). We assumed that we detected all individuals of a species within their respective distance thresholds, as these distances are more conservative than in other raptor studies (Marion and Ryder 1975, Bildstein 1978, Andres 1994, Bunn et al. 1995, Viñuela 1997, Ardia and Bildstein 2001, Boano and Toffoli 2002, Butet et al. 2010). We also excluded any individuals that were not perched or hover-hunting. Perched and hovering individuals were assumed to be actively hunting, an assumption we could not make for birds that were flying through or soaring. For paired raptors, we only included the individual that was observed first to avoid introducing spatial dependencies into our analysis of habitat use. After mapping confirmed raptor observations and generating available points, we calculated the distance to each landcover and habitat feature for every point, and used these distances as the variables in logistic regression models (Conner and Plowman 2001, see below).

Statistical analysis

We adopted a use-availability design (Johnson et al. 2006) to develop models of resource selection by raptors as a function of distance (m) to each of the measured landcover and habitat features (Table 1, Conner et al. 2003). Distance-based analyses are more informative than analyses based on habitat categories because the former can incorporate both linear (potential perches) and areal (landcover) features. In particular, a distance-based analysis allowed us to investigate the relationship between raptor locations and all habitat features, not just the select few, principally NoCover, that fell within a certain radius of each point.

Estimates derived from logistic regression for use-availability data converge to an equivalent log-linear inhomogeneous point process model if the number of available points is sufficiently large or infinite weights are assigned to all available points (Warton and Shepherd 2010, Fithian and Hastie 2013). Following Muff et al. (2020), we standardized each explanatory variable (Table 1) to have a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 1, and weighted available points by a factor of 1000. When detections are infrequent, as in our study, the random selection of a large number of available points can improve model accuracy (Lobo and Tognelli 2011, Nad'o and Kaňuch 2018). Thus, we selected 1000 random points for each model set; this was the sample size at which mean distances from available points to covariates tended to stabilize (Benson 2013, Zagorski 2019).

We fit a series of weighted logistic regression models for each focal species in R 3.6.1 (R Core Team 2019). First, we fit a global additive model to compare with our set of candidate models. We checked for multicollinearity by calculating variance inflation factors for all variables in each global model with the car package (Fox and Weisberg 2019). We then compared all possible additive models containing p or fewer explanatory variables using package MuMIn (Shoemaker et al. 2018, Bartoń 2019). Due to the relatively low number of detections for the species, we guarded against overparameterizing models by fitting a maximum of p = 4 explanatory variables to models for Red-tailed Hawks (n = 72 detections) and American Kestrels (n = 43). For each model set, we quantified the prevalence of each covariate in the credible set of models relative to its prevalence in the entire set of models. A credible set was defined as the top models with a collective Akaike weight ≥ 0.75 (cf. Alfaro and Huelsenbeck 2006). Adopting the concept of a selectivity index (reviewed by Manly et al. 2002), we defined relative prevalence, RP, of covariate X in the credible set as RP = (xc / nc) / (xa / na), where 0 ≤ RP ≤ (xa / na)-1, nc = the number of models in the credible set, nall = total number of models in the model set (163 in our study), xc = number of models in credible set that contain covariate X, and xall = number of models in entire model set that contain covariate X (64 in our study). RP = 1 indicates that the covariate is represented in the credible set at a frequency expected by chance. A value of RP < 1 indicates under-representation, and RP > 1 over-representation. Instead of relying on binary dichotomies such as those involved in traditional significance tests, we judged the strength of a covariate's effect based collectively on the magnitude of its p-value, standardized coefficient, and standard error (Amrhein et al. 2019, Hurlbert et al. 2019) with strong relationships denoted by low p values (<< 0.05) with large, precise coefficients.

To assess contributions of explanatory variables to top-ranking models, we conducted analysis of deviance using the car package (Fox and Weisberg 2019). Residual diagnostics were assessed with the DHARMa package (Hartig 2019). We evaluated model classification accuracy using area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC). AUC may yield unrealistically high assessments of model performance for use-availability data with a low proportion of detections relative to available points (Sofaer et al. 2019). Thus, we also computed normalized area under the precision-recall curve (AUC-PR) using R package PRROC (Grau et al. 2015). Normalized AUC-PR ranges from 0 (worst performance possible) to 1 (best performance possible); it offers a more robust measure of model accuracy for data with relatively few detections of use, as it adjusts for skew, can be adjusted for weighted points, and does not incorporate available (0) points that are predicted to be 0 (Boyd et al. 2012, Keilwagen et al. 2014, Sofaer et al. 2019).

To address our second objective, we assessed whether the manner in which available points were chosen influenced models of resource selection. Typically in use-availability and related studies, available points are chosen at random from a study site, home range, or radius around a focal resource (Thomas and Taylor 2006, Iturbide et al. 2015). However, detection for Red-tailed Hawks and most American Kestrels in our study was limited to sites with suitable perching substrates. In the context of species distribution modeling, species detections may be biased due, e.g., to greater sampling effort in more accessible areas (Phillips et al. 2009). Although our sampling was conducted systematically on transects, the constraints imposed on our detections by perch availability presumably would not be reflected in a set of available points selected randomly from across the width of each transect. Instead, random selection of available points that reflects constraints in sampling of species detections may improve model performance (Phillips et al. 2009, Hanberry et al. 2012). Consequently, we generated two types of available points: completely random, and random subject to biological constraints (hereafter, constrained random). For the former type, we selected points randomly from all landcover classes within each species' respective distance threshold. Red-tailed Hawks and American Kestrels hunt primarily from perches. Hence, constrained random points were selected randomly from available perching substrates (i.e., Treeperim, Treelines, edges of woodlots, Utility, Bildstein 1978, Bildstein and Collopy 1987, Bechard and Swem 2002, Preston and Beane 2009). For each species, we selected available points (completely random, constrained random) at each of two scales to mimic 2nd and 3rd-order selection (Johnson 1980): across all transects in our study landscape (1184 km), and within each transect (29-47 km). Thus, we considered a total of 2 types of available points x 2 scales = 4 sets of models for each species, for a total of 8 sets of models.

RESULTS

We detected 319 raptors of 9 species over 1184 km of transects (Table 2). Of these, 191 belonged to our target species (Table 2). Ninety percent of perched Red-tailed Hawks were observed in trees, and 70% of perched American Kestrels were observed on utility lines. None of the kestrels included in the analysis were hovering at the time of detection. Landcover was predominantly agricultural, with most of the sampled area in fields without cover crops (53.6%-91.4%), or in fields with cover crops (1.5%-12.5%). Transects were rural, with small amounts devoted to developed areas (1.4%-6.5%). Permanent herbaceous cover (1.4%-9.8%) and woodlands (0.6%-20.9%) occurred primarily as small patches.

Multicollinearity was not a concern; none of the predictors included in the eight global models had variance inflation factors >2. For all combinations of species, scales, and types of available points, global models failed to receive support as the AICc-best model. Indeed, in seven of eight model sets considered, the global model was 4 AIC units from the best model. Hence, global models were not considered further.

American Kestrels

For American Kestrels, classification accuracy of top models was greater when available points were chosen completely at random, with AUC (normalized AUC-PR) of 0.88-0.91 (0.81-0.84) compared to 0.70 (0.52-0.53) for models with available points constrained by potential perches (Table 3). When available points were selected randomly at the transect scale, 13 of 163 candidate models had a collective weight of evidence of 0.75 (Table 3). Cover-cropped fields and utility lines were the only two variables to be represented more frequently than expected in the credible set (Table 3). All 13 of these models included overwhelmingly strong negative relationships with distance to utility lines and, to a lesser extent, cover-cropped fields (Table 4). For the best model, a 1 SD increase in distance to utility lines (598 m) reduced odds of relative kestrel use to essentially zero, whereas 1 SD increases in distance to cover crops (1201 m) and permanent herbaceous cover (560 m) reduced odds of relative use to 0.48 and 0.55, respectively, compared to odds at mean values. For available points constrained by hunting mode at the transect scale, 17 candidate models had a collective weight of evidence of 0.76 (Table 3). Cover-cropped and non-cover-cropped fields were the only two variables to be represented more frequently than expected in the credible set (Table 3). All 17 of these models included a strong negative relationship with distance to cover-cropped fields and, to a lesser extent, non-cover-cropped fields (Table 3, 4). In the best model a 1 SD increase in distance to cover crops (1111 m) and fields without cover crops (57 m) reduced odds of relative use to 0.44 and 0.49, respectively.

When available points were selected randomly at the landscape scale, 12 candidate models had a collective weight of evidence of 0.78 (Table 3). Cover-cropped fields and utility lines were the only two variables to be represented more frequently than expected in the credible set, and development was not included (Table 3). All 12 models included strong negative relationships between detections and distance to cover-cropped fields and utility lines, with effects that were similar in magnitude to those for the corresponding model at the transect scale (Table 4). For available points constrained by hunting mode at the landscape scale, 16 candidate models exhibited a collective weight of evidence of 0.76 (Table 3). Cover-cropped and non-cover-cropped fields were the only two variables to be represented more frequently than expected in the credible set (Table 3). All 16 models incorporated a strong negative relationship with distance to cover-cropped and, to a lesser degree, non-cover-cropped fields, with effects similar in size to the constrained random models at the transect scale (Table 3, 4). To check that models discriminating between fields with and without cover crops were necessary, we replaced Cover and NoCover variables in top-ranked models with nearest distance to agricultural fields (Agriculture) and refit the models. Models with Agriculture were always inferior to models with Cover and NoCover (AICc > 8 for all comparisons) and were not considered further.

Red-tailed Hawks

For Red-tailed Hawks considered at both scales and for both types of available points, AICc-best models exhibited moderate classification accuracy, with AUC (normalized AUC-PR) of 0.69-0.77 (0.52-0.66; Table 3). For available points selected randomly at the transect scale, 27 of the 163 candidate models displayed a collective weight of evidence of 0.75 (Table 3). Distance to woodlots, development, and tree perimeters occurred more frequently than random, with distance to woodlots equivalent to the maximum possible value (Table 3). All 27 models included a strong negative relationship with distance to woodlots. A negative effect of distance to tree perimeter occurred in 17 models including the top 3, and a negative relationship with distance to development and permanent herbaceous cover occurred in 14 and 12 of the 27 models, respectively (Table 3, 4). Relative to mean values, a 1 SD increase in distance to woods (191 m) and tree perimeter (241 m) reduced odds of relative use to 0.20 and 0.67. For available points constrained by potential perches at the transect scale, 30 candidate models had a collective weight of evidence of 0.76 (Table 3). Distance to utility lines, development, and woodlots occurred more frequently than random, with distance to utility lines occurring at the maximum possible value (Table 3). All 30 top models included strong negative relationships between use and distance to utility lines, while 16 of the top models included a strong positive relationship with distance to woodlots and important but weaker effects of distance to development (Table 3, 4). Relative to mean values, a 1 SD change in these three variables (162, 115, and 566 m, respectively) for the best model resulted in odds of 1.19, 1.22, and 0.64, respectively.

For available points selected randomly at the landscape scale, 25 candidate models exhibited a collective weight of evidence of 0.76 (Table 3). As with the transect scale, distance to woodlots, development, and tree perimeters occurred more frequently than random, with distance to woodlots equivalent to the maximum possible value (Table 3). A strong negative relationship with distance to woodlot was found in all 25 models. As with the transect scale, a negative relationship with distance to development was included in 18 of the 25 models (Table 3, 4). For available points constrained by potential perches at the landscape scale, 25 models had a collective weight of evidence of 0.75 (Table 3). Distance to utility lines and woodlots occurred more frequently than random, with distance to utility lines equivalent to the maximum possible value (Table 3). Similar to the transect scale, all top models included a strong positive relationship with distance to utility lines, and 19 of 25 models included a negative relationship with distance to woodlots (Table 3, 4).

DISCUSSION

Although Andres (1994) found that American Kestrels in Kentucky did not use crop fields, American Kestrels within our study site were strongly influenced by access to hunting habitat. In all of our top constrained availability models, American Kestrels were associated with both cover-cropped and non-cover-cropped fields. Unlike Kentucky, permanent herbaceous cover in our study area was sparse, and much of it was positioned along roads. The inclusion of permanent herbaceous cover in several of our top kestrel models was noteworthy, as roadsides can serve as important habitat for grassland invertebrates and small mammals, especially in intensively agricultural regions (Getz et al. 1978, Adams and Geis 1983, Adams 1984, Evans et al. 2016). During our survey period, cover-cropped fields had a similar vegetative profile to roadside habitats and could have aided small mammal dispersal into the fields, thus attracting kestrels. Although they did not influence raptor abundance in Arkansas (Bobowski et al. 2014), untilled fields without cover crops also likely harbor prey available to kestrels. Within the surveyed counties, an estimated 26-83% of corn and 51-90% of soybean fields were untilled following the harvest and prior to our surveys (Indiana State Department of Agriculture 2019). Deer mice (Peromyscus maniculatus) and, to a lesser extent, prairie voles (Microtus ochrogaster) use reduced tillage row-crop fields within our study area during winter (Berl et al. 2017), and additional species of small mammals move into fields during the growing season (Abercrombie et al. 2017, Berl et al. 2018). As we only surveyed each transect once a year, we were unable to assess whether use of cover-cropped and non-cover-cropped agricultural fields changed over the course of the winter. Hence, future studies should investigate temporal variation in habitat use.

Unlike kestrels, fewer top models for Red-tailed Hawks incorporated agricultural landcover. Instead, Red-tailed Hawks associated most closely with woodlots. Although Red-tailed Hawks used utility poles and wires more than trees in Florida (Pearlstine et al. 2006) and Arkansas (Worm et al. 2013), use of trees and woodlots has been widely reported (Schnell 1968, Shupe and Collins 1983, Bohall and Collopy 1984, Leyhe and Ritchison 2004, Ingold 2010, Bobowski et al. 2014). Indeed, the association between Red-tailed Hawks and woodlots in the Midwest has been well documented; woodlots are used throughout the year by both hunting and nesting individuals (Schnell 1968, Bildstein 1978, Petersen 1979, Ingold 2010). In addition to defending woodlots, Red-tailed Hawks may encounter increased abundances of small mammals at the border between woodlots and fields (Bildstein 1978, Cummings and Vessey 1994, García et al. 1998, Šálek et al. 2010). The potential for high prey encounter rates as well as the abundance of perches along woodlot edges likely increases Red-tailed Hawk hunting efficiency, further directing their presence toward woodlots. Nevertheless, as our study area lacked large expanses of woodland, future studies should investigate the potential differences in habitat use among areas with varying availability of woodlands.

When hunting, American Kestrels demonstrated an increased presence near cover-cropped fields, whereas Red-tailed Hawks exhibited an increased affinity for available perches and non-agricultural habitats. In light of these results, producers could encourage further kestrel hunting of cover-cropped fields by erecting nest boxes and artificial perches as well as managing permanent herbaceous cover (Toland and Elder 1987, Valdez et al. 2000, Shave and Lindell 2017, Shave et al. 2018a, Zagorski and Swihart 2020). Supplementing available perches, particularly in the field interior, could increase the area kestrels can easily hunt, while attracting breeding pairs could increase predation pressure during planting and germination when voles consume seeds and newly sprouted crops (Fisher et al. 2014, Shave et al. 2018a, 2018b, Prieur and Swihart 2020b, c). Moreover, managing permanent herbaceous cover to increase invertebrate diversity could provide kestrels with more insect prey and increase crop pollination services (Clark et al. 2005, Marshall et al. 2006, Hopwood 2008, Garibaldi et al. 2014, Evans et al. 2016).

Roadside counts are subject to at least three potential biases. Specifically, the placement of roads, and thus transects, may not be representative of the surrounding landcover, detectability may vary depending on the structure of vegetation along roads, and double counting could occur (Millsap and LeFranc 1988). We believe these sources of bias were minimal in our study. County roads in our study were uniformly spaced and thus representative of the surrounding landcover. In addition, landcover in this intensive agroecosystem exhibited little variability that would affect detectability of raptors (USDA NASS 2019b, Zagorski 2019). Double-counting was likely not an issue because both study species tend to winter on or near their breeding territory (Petersen 1979, Bird and Palmer 1988). Although not quantified for Red-tailed Hawks, the mean diameter of American Kestrel winter territories was 1.4-3.5 km (Bird and Palmer 1988), which is smaller than the shortest distance between our transects.

Scale did not greatly affect the inclusion of habitat variables into top models. One exception was observed for American Kestrels, which reduced their use of woodlots at the transect scale but not at the landscape scale (Table 4). As North America's smallest diurnal raptor, kestrels are susceptible to predation and competition with other raptors, including Red-tailed Hawks, Sharp-shinned Hawks (Accipter striatus) and Cooper's Hawks (Accipter cooperii), all of which are associated with woodlots (Smallwood and Bird 2002, Farmer et al. 2006). Among wintering kestrels in Pennsylvania, avian predators were responsible for 62% of kestrel mortality (Farmer et al. 2006). Therefore, by reducing their use of woodlots at a finer scale, kestrels may have chosen foraging sites that reduced risk of predation and competition.

Resource selection models based on biologically constrained available points tended to yield worse predictive accuracy than models using available points drawn completely at random, a pattern also observed by Cerasoli et al. (2017) for species distribution models. Reduced classification accuracy follows logically from the inclusion of prior knowledge into selection of available points. However, selection of available points from the suite of available perch sites provided a more biologically relevant comparison for species that are known to hunt predominantly from perches. By extension, available points constrained in this manner more closely aligned with detections, making it more difficult for the models to classify points accurately but enabling us to identify more subtle features that influenced use of foraging sites. In particular, the method of selection of available points influenced the category (i.e., perch or landcover) of habitat variables deemed important to Red-tailed Hawks and American Kestrels.

For kestrels, utility poles and lines were only included in the best models created with randomly selected available points, and the magnitude of selection for this feature was 60 (transect) and 15 (landscape) times greater than for the next most important variable in these models (cover crops, Table 4). Such an outcome is unsurprising when considering prior knowledge about kestrels, as they often hunt from utility lines (Andres 1994, Ingold 2010, Bobowski et al. 2014). In our study, 30 of 43 detections were from utility lines. Thus, the inclusion in models of available points chosen randomly from all possible points confirmed our understanding of the importance of utility lines as perch sites for kestrels in agricultural regions. Importantly, models that relied on available points drawn solely from possible perch sites revealed reduced use of woodland perches and an increased use of perch sites near fields lacking cover crops (Table 4). Constraining available points to possible perch sites thus shed light on additional features of perch site use by kestrels that would not have been evident with the more conventional (completely random) approach to modeling use-availability.

The influence of competing definitions of availability was more nuanced for Red-tailed Hawks. In particular, the two methods of generating available points yielded best models that diverged in their associations with development. In constrained availability models, Red-tailed Hawks reduced their use (transect scale) or were neutral (landscape scale) to development, whereas in random availability models they tended to associate with development. At both scales, constrained availability resulted in a stronger signal of aversion to development. Discrepancies in expected associations with development resulted from altered distributions of distances chosen with the two methods of defining availability. Mean observed distance to development was 93m. For available sites constrained to potential perches, mean distances to development were less than mean observed distance, (i.e., 69 m for transect, 79 m for landscape), whereas mean distances for available sites selected randomly (i.e., 138 m for transect, 165 m for landscape) were greater than the observed mean. This example thus illustrates how the method of selection of available points can impact not only the inclusion of variables, but also the direction of association. For Red-tailed Hawks, the constrained availability models, by virtue of selecting only from available perches, highlighted habitat associations, particularly reduced use of development and utility lines, that we believe more accurately reflect perch-site use than associations conveyed by the random models.

When modeling resource selection, multiple definitions of availability potentially can yield complementary insights. However, consideration of constrained availability may not be feasible for under-studied species or those species for which discrete, biologically important habitat features are not easily identified on the landscape. To place intelligent constraints on choice of available points necessitates some knowledge of the species' biology as it relates to the resource in question. Stewart et al. (2013) modified a previously developed model to constrain selection of available points when testing selection of habitat edges by grizzly bears (Ursus arctos). We used knowledge of hunting behavior by American Kestrels and Red-tailed Hawks to constrain our selection of available points to potential perch sites. However, for species with a paucity of biological information, identification of potential features on which to constrain choices of availability may not be obvious, in which case availability determined completely at random is most appropriate. Even for well-studied species, constraining available points to biologically relevant and spatially discrete habitat features can pose a challenge when these habitat features are not easily mapped, especially if spatial projections of model predictions are desired. Employing constrained availability in models of resource selection will therefore work best for well-studied species that utilize spatially distinct and biologically relevant habitat features amenable to mapping, such as with some birds (e.g., perching and nesting sites), bats (e.g., roosting structures), or amphibians (e.g., vernal pools).

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank C. Conigliaro and D. Hixon for their assistance with field work. Comments from J. Dunning Jr., A. Janke, the Subject Editor, and 2 anonymous reviewers improved the manuscript. Our work was supported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Natural Resources Conservation Service [grant number 68-3A75-18-127], the U.S. Department of Agriculture National Institute of Food and Agriculture [Hatch project 1014271], and the Purdue University Department of Forestry and Natural Resources. The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in the Purdue University Research Repository at (https://purr.purdue.edu, DOI: 10.4231/83SG-7P52).

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Address of Correspondent:
Megan E. Zagorski
Department of Forestry and Natural Resources,
Purdue University,
West Lafayette, IN, USA



zagorski.megan@gmail.com
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